Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 42.157162 48.850118 55.818648 63.580011 71.948366 80.667328 90.406326
2025-04-20 33.918336 43.560802 54.170786 66.562545 80.497453 95.556175 112.935283
2025-04-27 28.580990 39.775832 52.617735 68.129818 86.074731 105.928233 129.309515
2025-05-04 23.560243 35.533464 49.834542 67.654478 88.793305 112.656774 141.239219
2025-05-11 19.482692 31.847382 47.206797 66.904179 90.799635 118.250761 151.603970
2025-05-18 16.736611 29.484902 45.891255 67.460815 94.122525 125.191498 163.374844
2025-05-25 14.061065 26.866057 43.970725 67.029941 96.061490 130.357811 172.964579
2025-06-01 12.062238 24.935034 42.743453 67.302024 98.724328 136.284418 183.374288
2025-06-08 9.989385 22.615506 40.780421 66.447694 99.846822 140.254106 191.383341
2025-06-15 8.815831 21.529762 40.408684 67.594089 103.423558 147.162284 202.884103
2025-06-22 7.819349 20.596186 40.159258 68.833949 107.072518 154.133530 214.454057
2025-06-29 6.430722 18.784931 38.483719 68.017318 107.981443 157.659676 221.807297
2025-07-06 4.972280 16.602743 36.100336 66.121965 107.434059 159.369226 226.985377
2025-07-13 4.644549 16.552605 36.990399 68.841196 112.997116 168.780798 241.666392
2025-07-20 4.148787 16.075588 37.154889 70.490111 117.116991 176.366898 254.107064
2025-07-27 3.347294 14.779510 35.893133 69.997613 118.306556 180.197918 261.879313
2025-08-03 2.625232 13.476553 34.504886 69.233056 119.064566 183.434959 268.884690
2025-08-10 2.186161 12.753521 34.039720 69.800934 121.618302 188.967385 278.758164
2025-08-17 1.693228 11.726198 32.951561 69.361259 122.736268 192.615204 286.250574
2025-08-24 1.350513 11.010073 32.358956 69.638914 124.825807 197.512621 295.315778
2025-08-31 0.966911 9.972597 31.073135 68.767048 125.251839 200.202726 301.566975
2025-09-07 0.798825 9.632754 31.088862 69.936953 128.565149 206.692808 312.660738
2025-09-14 0.659583 9.340794 31.172247 71.202059 132.011359 213.364069 324.000020